What BearingTrace does

BearingTrace continuously scans public information — IPO history and price behavior, insider (Form 4) filings, news, and a company's broader ecosystem — for a tracked list of companies, and organizes what it finds into a single number (the Score), a priority group (the Tier), and a historical pattern tag (the Archetype). The goal is to save you the time of tracking all of that yourself, not to tell you what to do with it.

What the Score means

A BearingTrace Score currently runs roughly 4 to 30 — it's not a percentage and not out of 100. A higher score means more of BearingTrace's tracked signal categories are currently present for that company at the same time; it is not a probability that the stock will go up, and it is not a price target.

Those categories, at a high level, are things like:

• How closely the company's history matches a recognizable pattern we've seen before (its Archetype — see below).
• How relevant its industry theme currently is.
• Whether attention around the company has been sustained over time, rather than a one-day spike.
• The quality profile of its original IPO.
• Recent insider (Form 4) filing activity.
• Its recent price behavior relative to its own trend.

BearingTrace combines these into the single Score using a proprietary weighting we don't publish. Scores are recalculated on each pipeline run (roughly twice a day, not continuously) as new data comes in — so a score moving up or down usually means one or more of the categories above changed, not that something dramatic necessarily happened.

What a Tier means

Every company also gets sorted into one of four tiers — this is BearingTrace's recommended reading order, not a strict cutoff of the Score above. Two companies with similar scores can land in different tiers because tier assignment also factors in things like ecosystem context and recent catalysts.

• Tier 1 — Priority / Active: Pay attention now.
• Tier 2 — Active Watch: Strong signal, keep close watch.
• Tier 3 — Monitor: On the radar, watching for confirmation.
• Tier 4 — Tracked Universe: Tracked, currently lower priority.

What an Archetype means

Beyond the Score and Tier, BearingTrace also tags companies with one or more Archetypes — shorthand for a recognizable historical price-behavior pattern the company's IPO and trading history matches. Each one describes something that was actually measured in the company's own price history — not a guess at why it happened, and not a prediction that the same pattern will repeat. A company can match more than one archetype at the same time.

• Major Hype Cycle: Had a large, rapid price run-up in the period following its IPO — well beyond a typical post-IPO pop.
• Hyper-Growth Mania: Had an exceptionally large price run-up following its IPO — among the most extreme BearingTrace tracks, beyond even a typical major hype cycle.
• Fast Blow-Off: Reached its post-IPO high very quickly — within roughly its first month of trading — rather than building up over time.
• Slow-Burn Hype: Reached its post-IPO high well after its debut — months later, not in the first weeks — suggesting attention built gradually rather than in one early spike.
• Major Repricing: Experienced a substantial decline from its post-IPO peak, representing a significant repricing after the initial trading period.
• Deep Collapse: Experienced a very large, sustained decline from its post-IPO peak — among the steepest pullbacks BearingTrace tracks.
• Tradable Post-Open Runner: Continued to run up significantly even after its opening trade — not just in the first moments, but through a longer stretch that was realistically tradable.
• General Pop / Drop: Showed the basic post-IPO pattern of an initial pop followed by a later decline, without matching the more extreme or specific patterns above.

Archetype tags now appear directly on each Company Page, under an "Archetype Pattern" section, using this same wording.

Why a score can change day to day

Without listing exact point values, a score most often moves because of things like:

• A new insider (Form 4) filing, or a filing that hits a tracked keyword.
• The stock's price moving relative to its own recent trend (for example, hitting a new short-term high or low).
• Sustained attention persisting — or fading — over consecutive runs, rather than a single day's move.
• A shift in which archetype pattern the company currently most resembles.

A per-company "here's specifically why this score moved today" explanation is something we're looking at adding — for now, this section covers the general categories rather than a daily breakdown for any one company.

What you should take from this

• Where to look first — Tier 1 reflects the strongest current combination of tracked signals, so it's a reasonable place to start scanning.
• That a score reflects several categories of public information combined, not one single metric like a percentage change.
• That scores are recalculated regularly (roughly twice a day) and are expected to move as new filings, price action, or attention shift.
• That an archetype tag is shorthand for a historical pattern resemblance, meant to help you research faster — not a verdict on the company.

What you should not take from this

• A high score is not a recommendation to buy, and a low score or Tier 4 placement is not a recommendation to avoid — it may simply mean fewer of BearingTrace's tracked signals are present right now, or that a company hasn't moved recently.
• The score is not a prediction, a price target, or a probability the stock will go up.
• Two companies with the same score aren't necessarily "equally good" — the categories behind their scores can be completely different.
• An archetype match describes historical resemblance, not certainty that the same pattern will repeat.
• Nothing on BearingTrace is personalized — it doesn't know your financial situation, goals, or risk tolerance.

For the full legal picture, see Terms & Disclaimer. Questions about how something is calculated? Reach out through Contact.